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STATISTICAL AND ECONOMETRIC METHODS FOR TRANSPORTATION DATA ANALYSIS


WASHINGTON S.P. KARLAFTIS M.G. MANNERING F.L.

wydawnictwo: TAYLOR & FRANCIS , rok wydania 2010, wydanie II

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The complexity, diversity, and random nature of transportation problems necessitates a broad analytical toolbox.

Describing tools commonly used in the field, Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis, Second Edition provides an understanding of a broad range of analytical tools required to solve transportation problems. It includes a wide breadth of examples and case studies covering applications in various aspects of transportation planning, engineering, safety, and economics.

 

After a solid refresher on statistical fundamentals, the book focuses on continuous dependent variable models and count and discrete dependent variable models. Along with an entirely new section on other statistical methods, this edition offers a wealth of new material.

New to the Second Edition

 

  • A subsection on Tobit and censored regressions
  • An explicit treatment of frequency domain time series analysis, including Fourier and wavelets analysis methods
  • New chapter that presents logistic regression commonly used to model binary outcomes
  • New chapter on ordered probability models
  • New chapters on random-parameter models and Bayesian statistical modeling
  • New examples and data sets

 

Each chapter clearly presents fundamental concepts and principles and includes numerous references for those seeking additional technical details and applications. To reinforce a practical understanding of the modeling techniques, the data sets used in the text are offered on the book’s CRC Press web page. PowerPoint and Word presentations for each chapter are also available for download.


Table of Contents

 

FUNDAMENTALS Statistical Inference I: Descriptive Statistics
Measures of Relative Standing Measures of Central Tendency Measures of Variability Skewness and Kurtosis Measures of Association Properties of Estimators Methods of Displaying Data

 

Statistical Inference II: Interval Estimation, Hypothesis Testing, and Population Comparisons
Confidence Intervals Hypothesis Testing Inferences Regarding a Single Population Comparing Two Populations Nonparametric Methods

 

CONTINUOUS DEPENDENT VARIABLE MODELS Linear Regression
Assumptions of the Linear Regression Model Regression Fundamentals Manipulating Variables in Regression Estimate a Single Beta Parameter Estimate Beta Parameter for Ranges of a Variable Estimate a Single Beta Parameter for m 1 of the m Levels of a Variable Checking Regression Assumptions Regression Outliers Regression Model GOF Measures Multicollinearity in the Regression Regression Model-Building Strategies Estimating Elasticities Censored Dependent Variables—Tobit Model Box Cox Regression

 

Violations of Regression Assumptions
Zero Mean of the Disturbances Assumption Normality of the Disturbances Assumption Uncorrelatedness of Regressors and Disturbances Assumption Homoscedasticity of the Disturbances Assumption No Serial Correlation in the Disturbances Assumption Model Specification Errors

 

Simultaneous-Equation Models
Overview of the Simultaneous-Equations Problem Reduced Form and the Identification Problem Simultaneous-Equation Estimation Seemingly Unrelated Equations Applications of Simultaneous Equations to Transportation Data

 

Panel Data Analysis
Issues in Panel Data Analysis One-Way Error Component Models Two-Way Error Component Models Variable-Parameter Models Additional Topics and Extensions

 

Background and Exploration in Time Series
Exploring a Time Series Basic Concepts: Stationarity and Dependence Time Series in Regression

 

Forecasting in Time Series: Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Models and Extensions
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models The Box Jenkins Approach Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model Extensions Multivariate Models Nonlinear Models

 

Latent Variable Models
Principal Components Analysis Factor Analysis Structural Equation Modeling

 

Duration Models
Hazard-Based Duration Models Characteristics of Duration Data Nonparametric Models Semiparametric Models Fully Parametric Models Comparisons of Nonparametric, Semiparametric, and Fully Parametric Models Heterogeneity State Dependence Time-Varying Covariates Discrete-Time Hazard Models Competing Risk Models

 

COUNT AND DISCRETE DEPENDENT VARIABLE MODELS Count Data Models
Poisson Regression Model Interpretation of Variables in the Poisson Regression Model Poisson Regression Model Goodness-of-Fit Measures Truncated Poisson Regression Model Negative Binomial Regression Model Zero-Inflated Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Models Random-Effects Count Models

 

Logistic Regression
Principles of Logistic Regression The Logistic Regression Model

 

Discrete Outcome Models
Models of Discrete Data Binary and Multinomial Probit Models Multinomial Logit Model Discrete Data and Utility Theory Properties and Estimation of MNL Models The Nested Logit Model (Generalized Extreme Value Models)
Special Properties of Logit Models

 

Ordered Probability Models
Models for Ordered Discrete Data Ordered Probability Models with Random Effects Limitations of Ordered Probability Models

 

Discrete/Continuous Models
Overview of the Discrete/Continuous Modeling Problem Econometric Corrections: Instrumental Variables and Expected Value Method Econometric Corrections: Selectivity-Bias Correction Term Discrete/Continuous Model Structures Transportation Application of Discrete/Continuous Model Structures

 

OTHER STATISTICAL METHODS Random-Parameter Models
Random-Parameters Multinomial Logit Model (Mixed Logit Model)
Random-Parameter Count Models Random-Parameter Duration Models

 

Bayesian Models
Bayes’ Theorem MCMC Sampling-Based Estimation Flexibility of Bayesian Statistical Models via MCMC Sampling-Based Estimation Convergence and Identifi ability Issues with MCMC Bayesian Models Goodness-of-Fit, Sensitivity Analysis, and Model Selection Criterion using MCMC Bayesian Models

Appendix A: Statistical Fundamentals Appendix B: Glossary of Terms Appendix C: Statistical Tables Appendix D: Variable Transformations

References

Index


526 pages, Hardcover

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