Few topics in international
economics are as controversial as the choice of an exchange rate regime. Since the
breakdown of the Bretton Woods system in the early 1970s, countries have adopted a wide
variety of regimes, ranging from pure floats at one extreme to currency boards and
dollarization at the other. While a vast theoretical literature explores the choice and
consequences of exchange rate regimes, the abundance of possible effects makes it
difficult to establish clear relationships between regimes and common macroeconomic policy
targets such as inflation and growth.
This book takes a systematic
look at the evidence on macroeconomic performance under alternative exchange rate regimes,
drawing on the experience of some 150 member countries of the International Monetary Fund
over the past thirty years. Among other questions, it asks whether pegging the exchange
rate leads to lower inflation, whether floating exchange rates are associated with faster
output growth, and whether pegged regimes are particularly prone to currency and other
crises. The book draws on history and theory to delineate the debate and on standard
statistical methods to assess the empirical evidence, and includes a CD-ROM containing the
data set used.
Atish R. Ghosh is Deputy
Chief of Division in the Policy Development and Review Department at the International
Monetary Fund.
Anne-Marie Gulde is Division
Chief in the Monetary and Exchange Affairs Department at the International Monetary Fund.
Holger C. Wolf is Associate
Professor at the Center for German and European Studies at Georgetown University.
232 strony
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